front |1 |2 |3 |4 |5 |6 |7 |8 |9 |10 |11 |12 |13 |14 |15 |16 |17 |18 |19 |20 |21 |22 |23 |24 |25 |26 |27 |28 |29 |review |
Lets
look at the same matter in a more practical way, going back to the imaginary example of
slides 5-7. Here we have: R0 = 3, R = 1, (S/N) eq = 1/3, and (I/N)eq = PC = 2/3.In words: this microorganism in this population would be transmitted, on average, to three susceptibles per each infected case should all members of the population be susceptible (R0=3); on average, the infection is actually transmitted, to only one susceptible person per infected case (R=1); in this state of equilibrium, one out of three people are susceptible ((S/N) eq = 1/3) and two out of three are immune ((I/N)eq = 2/3); if we could achieve a vaccination level higher than 2/3 we would be able to eventually eradicate the microorganism (PC = 1 - (1/R0) = 1 - (1/3) = 2/3 = 67%). |