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The validity of a screening program is
measured by its sensitivity and specificity. Sensitivity is the ability of screening to
test positive for truly affected people. Specificity is the ability of screening to test
negative for truly unaffected people. The methods of calculating these measures are given
in last slide. Obviously it is desirable to have a screening program that is both highly
sensitive and highly specific. Usually this is not possible as there are some people who
are clearly affected and some who are clearly unaffected but there are some who fall in
between. In this situation, the cutoff between affected and unaffected is an arbitrary
decision. Any screening program that has increased ability to avoid missing a true case
will increase the number of unaffected individuals who will be wrongly picked as positive
by the screening program. Thus, whether we need a sensitive or a specific program depends
on the condition and its burden on health. Generally we say that those skipped as negative
by mistake (false negative) are important to avoid especially in severe conditions while
those picked wrongly as positive (false positive) are just an alarm. |