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We shall
estimate the coefficient a with the help of parameters characterizing the rates of
generation and death of different agents of infectious diseases, their tolerance to drags
or vaccines, the rates of diseases spreading. The observation of parameters,
characterizing immune, endocrine, energetic and other functional systems of organism shall
help to estimate the indices, characterizing the restoration possibility of population and
therefore parameter b. There are some mathematical models, that allow estimate
degree of the above systems’ functions violation and their reserves. We shall estimate
the coefficient c with the help of following parameters: a total population, annual
population growth, percent of population urbanized, average annual growth rate, GNP per
capita, GNP per capita annual growth rate, human development index, unemployment rate,
total adult literacy rate, crude birth rate, crude death rate, maternal mortality, life
expectancy, total fertility rate, infant mortality. The observation of parameters,
characterizing impact of geographic factors, ecological situation and others shall help to
estimate the coefficient d. |