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In assigning probability it is important to
adjust probabilities based on location. Data on hazards tends to be applied
across a jurisdiction, but impacts may vary greatly based on location within
the jurisdiction. For example, the primary immediate impact of highway and
rail accidents tend to be restricted to the neighborhood of the
transportation corridor. The further one is from that corridor the lower the
probable impact.
It is also important to account for changes to the environment that have
occurred after the hazard data was gathered. For example, increased
construction of new housing and commercial facilities increases the
potential for urban runoff flooding. The closing and environmental cleanup
of an industrial facility may reduce the potential for explosion, fire, or
hazardous waste release. |