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Where t = subscript index for year (=1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10) Budgett = total budget for the national malaria control in Myanmar in the year t Incidt = annual malaria incidence in the year t GDPpct = gross domestic product per capita in the year t CFRt = case fatality rate of malaria in Myanmar in the year t DDTt-1 = DDT used (kg) in Myanmar for spraying in the year t-1 Riskpopt = proportion of population residing in risk area in the year t ProPft = proportion of P. falciparum in the year t Ln = logarithmic to the base e of the relevant variable a 0.... a 6 = parameters˜ = error terms |