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In this slide I have made a stab at ranking
cancer risk factors on a relative basis based on current knowledge, but the
research agenda is far from finished. Tobacco smoking is the major
carcinogen responsible for about one-third of all cancer. Alcohol interacts
with smoking in the development of certain cancers and has an independent
affect on the risk of breast cancer, liver cancer and probably colorectal
and pancreas cancer. Nutrition-related factors, especially obesity and
physical inactivity, are important along with diet, but questions remain
about the specific dietary components that are either carcinogenic or
protective. Microbial agents, including viruses and bacteria, along with
inflammatory state, seem likely to have a greater role than has been
estimated at present. There is also a need to clarify the effects of
chemicals from occupational exposures, air and water pollution, and
pharmaceuticals along with... And pharmaceuticals, by the way, include
hormones and we’ve heard this morning from Alice about the impact that
exogenous estrogens, menopausal estrogens have played in the etiology of
breast cancer. And we need to know more about ionizing radiation, especially
from indoor radon and radioactive materials in the atomic age, not to
mention UV radiation for skin cancer, including melanoma. It’s difficult to
estimate the amount of cancer related to genetic susceptibility. I have lots
of question marks here since only now do we have the tools to identify
susceptibility or modifier genes and their interaction with environmental
factors, which may, by the way, be easier to detect in susceptible subgroups
of the population. While inherited genes may eventually be found to
contribute to a sizable fraction of cancer, it is clear that at least
one-half of cancer in the U.S. could be prevented by implementing changes in
modifiable risk factors, some of which (like smoking and obesity) contribute
to several forms of cancer. |