Biography:

Dr. Elsayed Sabry Mansour holds two PhDs in Chemical Engineering one from Institut Nationale Polytechniques de Toulouse (Institute of Chemical Engineering), France at 1983 and the other from Cairo University at 1981. He joined the Technical Research Center of Egyptian Armed Forces (TRCAF) working as researcher in 1983. During his work in TRCAF from 1983 to 2003, he conducted over 32 basic researches as well as many applied researches. The scientific basic researches were related to synthetic ester lubricants, polymeric composite and energetic materials and are published in international as well as national scientific journals and conferences.

He participated as principal investigator in conducting over 24 applied research projects of different military applications leading successfully these projects to completion, thus recognized as the best researcher in year 1998 with a certificate from the Egyptian Army Command-in-Chief. He occupied all the positions in his scientific and professional career as well during his work in TRACF starting as researcher, senior researcher, chief scientist, assistant director for research sector, deputy director and finally the director of the Technical Research Center of Egyptian Armed Forces (TRCAF) finishing his military career in January 2003. He joined the General Authority for Investment and Free Zones (GAFI) as environmental and technical advisor.

In 2005, he joined Ministry of Environment as the Head of Climate Change Unit and UNFCCC/IPCC focal point until 2010; where he Participated in discussion meetings conducted by UNFCCC and Working Groups of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), Working Groups (WG I, WG II, WG III), 2005-2006. He was the Leader of the activities for reforming the Egyptian National Committee for Climate Change, 2007 and the Head of Delegation and Climate Change, Negotiator in UNFCCC meetings, in addition to participating to the Climate Change Talks (AWG-LCA and AWG-KP), in 2008 and 2009; participated in IPCC workshop for scoping the special report on Renewables SREN, the Head of Delegation and Climate Change Negotiator in some IPCC meetings and organized numerous international workshops and public awareness campaigns in this field.

He has attended and contributed to eighteen Climate Change Workshops both inside and outside of Egypt. He was elected as a board member in the Adaptation Fund Board (established by the UNFCCC) representing Africa from 2007-2010. He has extensive experience in the CDM field where he was the Leader for development of Egyptian CDM Projects Portfolio, which included more than 65 projects opportunities by September 2010 when he left Ministry of Environment (55 of which had already been preliminarily accepted at that time).

He was the project manager of National Environmental, Economic and Development Study (NEEDS) funded by UNFCCC and implemented by EEAA and the National project director (Government Representative) of Egypt Second National Communication (SNC) from 2006-2010. He became the project manager of Egypt Third National Communication (TNC) from 2011 to February 2013.

Since December 2014 he is a freelance consultant in Climate Change & Environment as well as R&D in chemical technology. He is also a founder member of the Egyptian society of polymer science and technology since 1985, Egyptian Sustainable Development Forum and Egyptian Committee of Climate Change.

Abstract:

Green Economy as Pathway to Address Climate Change and Achieve Sustainable Development.

The expected challenges of the impacts of climate change on Egypt will be a rise in sea level, change and shortage of water resources, lack of agricultural production and affected tourist destinations, as well as deterioration in health and infrastructure; and therefore affecting the energy, industry, and other national economy sectors.

In the field of Water Resources and Irrigation it is expected a change in the quantities and places of rainfall and seasons, as some studies suggest the possibility of a lack of water flow into the Nile River at a rate of up to about 60%. As for the impact on agriculture, livestock and food sources it is projected that shortages in agricultural crop productivity will happen (Wheat -15% in 2050 and -36% in 2100, rice -11% in 2050 and corn -14% in 2050 to -19% in 2100, barley -20%) and increasing need to water as a result of high temperatures and high evaporation, also change in the geographical distribution of crops map in addition to negative effects on crops and increase the marginal social and economic accompanying desertification rates as well as the negative effects on agriculture as a result of changing rates and times of heat waves.

When talking about the influence of a sea-level rise on coastal areas, it is expected the sinking of some low-lying areas in the north of the Delta and some other coastal areas and increase erosion of beaches and the salt water intrusion into the soil and decrease of agricultural productivity and lack of groundwater level causing socio-economic impacts of each of the previous phenomena. This is in addition to affecting fish production as a result of ecosystem change in coastal areas and rising sea temperatures. The impact on tourism is expected to speed the degradation effects on historical places at high heat and changing weather conditions and increase pressure on the investment areas in the coast of the Red Sea and the Mediterranean and decrease of good beaches for clubbing will adversely affect the tourism services, leading to rapid degradation and thus lower tourism rates and increased unemployment rates. Rising temperatures lead to coral bleaching, which is the natural wealth flock by tourists.

To talk about the impact on populations it is projected agricultural workers and fishermen migration and increased humidity increases the feeling of dissatisfaction, and reduces the efficiency of workers and production while increasing the wind and the temperature increase of the presence of dust rates which affects the electrical appliances and increases the rates of fires in rural areas and indiscriminate addition to roads threat to the impact of high temperature on the pavement. As for the impact on health, it is expected the spread of disease Such as malaria and dengue fever; and other diseases such as malnutrition and diarrhea, health effects resulting from the lack of water and the high heat, and humidity, and increase the severity of hot and cold and to increase pressure on the slums waves because they are the areas most affected by the increase of winds and torrents and finally increase the temperature raising mortality rates among children and the elderly.

Future Vision of Egypt to address climate change are as follows:

Upgrading of the institutional structure climate change in Egypt

Establishing a national center of excellence for climate change and a National Committee for Science and environment-friendly technology from leading experts and scientists in universities and research centers in the field of science of climate and environmentally sound technologies to provide advice to the government with regard to the most appropriate policies and technologies to adopt the path of the green economy, as well as the establishment of the supreme council of CC and SD to mainstream climate change within the framework of the sustainable Development under the chairmanship of the Prime Minister and the membership of the ministers of agriculture, water resources, energy, industry, planning and international cooperation, the environment.

The preparation of the National Strategy on Climate Change and the national action plan for climate change in different sectors. The most important features of the green economy strategy in Egypt